I reckon things will go unchanged but with a smaller majority unless the Stun and the Rail go into overdrive, and frankly too many people don't give a shit anymore because the two big parties are two alike in their good and Bad ways. What we need is a none of the above option, or a bar on voting on party lines/whip inside Westminster.
I'm expecting a hung parliament just barely in Labour's favour, though I'd have to look a lot more closely at the current state of various marginals in order to give a more accurate answer. But even if the Lib Dems are the party to be wooed, I don't necessarily think Vince Cable would get the Exchequer -- I think Labour would try to broker an arrangement that keeps the pursestrings in their control.
I think that both Brown and Cameron are trying not to win by a lot(because winning means you are the Bad Person who has to do the Nasty Stuff which will make Margaret Thatcher look like an indulgent granny, and you really want to blame the Lib Dems or whoever else's votes you need for the Bad Stuff).
E.g. 'yes, under my leadership for the past X years, the X really suffered. But that was because our allies were insisting that Y had to be protected, and if we'd been allowed to modernise it, we we would have got Y more cheaply, and X would have been fine'.
I feel slightly sorry for David Cameron: other parties have carefully fielded nondescript leaders, knowing full well that even if they are elected, it will be for a short time, in a period to be condemned in popular (i.e. wrong) histories: the wise heads are hanging back: there will be an election around 2014 which will seem them come to power. Poor David ... far better to be the candidate in 2014 than in 2010.
no subject
Date: 2010-03-30 07:37 am (UTC)TBH, I haven't got a clue who's going to win. The problem is that they're all politicians and I don't trust politicians...
no subject
Date: 2010-03-30 07:58 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-03-30 09:10 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-03-30 01:07 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-03-30 08:02 pm (UTC)E.g. 'yes, under my leadership for the past X years, the X really suffered. But that was because our allies were insisting that Y had to be protected, and if we'd been allowed to modernise it, we we would have got Y more cheaply, and X would have been fine'.
I feel slightly sorry for David Cameron: other parties have carefully fielded nondescript leaders, knowing full well that even if they are elected, it will be for a short time, in a period to be condemned in popular (i.e. wrong) histories: the wise heads are hanging back: there will be an election around 2014 which will seem them come to power. Poor David ... far better to be the candidate in 2014 than in 2010.
no subject
Date: 2010-03-30 09:48 pm (UTC)