How long will you live?

[wellinghall]

This is a sort-of poll, but I don't have the skills / account to set one up properly.

How long do you think a man aged 65, and a woman aged 60, can expect to live? - based on current estimates of UK mortality rates.

I'd be interested in the sorts of answers I get, and in what the data tell me.

(Feel free to ignore if this is just too boring for words!)

Comments

[the-marquis.livejournal.com]

Is that taking into account any kind of pension/income? Seeing as some of us are on strike today in a bid to stop TPTB from cutting our pension funds.

Ordinarily I'd say 75 + 85 respectively as likely averages

[beckyc.livejournal.com]

Until 75-80?

[bunn.livejournal.com]

If they are 65 & 60 now, I'd guess wildly:

Bloke - till he is 77 (12 years, if my sums is right)

Woman - till she is 82 (22 years)

If you are talking about someone who is 30-odd now though, I have no idea. Guess it depends on whether civilisation collapses or someone invents an eternity drug in the meanwhile. :-p

[emily-shore.livejournal.com]

I would guess (not having looked at other answers) that the man can expect to live fifteen more years, and the woman maybe twenty-five or thirty more. I've never done anything actuarial but I have done a decent bit of demographic history, so consider myself decently aware of these things

(Prepares to get it hideously wrong.)

[emily-shore.livejournal.com]

So, what's the right answer then?

[wryelle.livejournal.com]

Off the top of my head I would have said 80.

[asklepia.livejournal.com]

Ten years. For some reason, it's always ten years. When you get to eighty, it becomes five years. Bizarre, but that's what I was taught in medical school (admittedly that was considerably longer than ten years ago, but...)

[wellinghall.livejournal.com]

The "right" answer is (drum roll) ...
- man aged 65: another 21 years, to 86
- woman aged 60: another 30 years, to 90
!!!

[didiusjulianus.livejournal.com]

What about someone around 30, then? 40? 13?